End-to-end traceability and AI credit scoring: Field agents, equipped with fingerprint scanners, smartphone with a pre-installed in-house developed app, and more, create a complete, verifiable and traceable profile of farm(er)s and produce. Data is stored in the app allowing digitization, aggregation and manipulation. Coupled with a proprietary AI credit scoring algorithm, the data is leveraged to predict non-performing loans (NPL) with very high accuracy. With scale and over time, the predictors of NPLs can be better understood.
Many farmers in Northern Ghana are trapped in a vicious circle of low income and limited access to services. Access to input loans and quality premiums are ways of enabling farmers to produce and earn more, and re-invest in their farms. However, high (perceived) risks and costs refrain input and financial service providers from catering to smallholders. At the same time, lack of traceable high-quality produce hinders premiums from trickling down. Relevant, verifiable and traceable data that can accurately predict (non)performance and trace produce to the farmer can draw in service providers, banks, pension funds and premium buyers.
Outcomes for Degas Ltd.
With the data Degas collects, they make an accurate prediction of the farmer’s ability to repay the credit provided by Degas. Only farmers with good credit scores (95-99%) are eligible for (more) inputs next season, thereby reducing the credit risk for Degas.
Degas’ model allows for full traceability per bag. This is not common in the sector, although there is increasing demand from buyers who are willing to pay a premium. Therefore Degas is able to tap into these premium markets.
Degas’ extension staff are well-equipped and trained, leading to a high quality but high-cost model. They collect reliable farm-level data in an integral and continuous way. Degas might be able to monetize the data as many organizations are looking to learn what works in smallholder value chains.
Outcomes for smallholder farmers
By collecting and analyzing qualitative and quantitative farm level data, the (perceived) risk of providing financial services to smallholder farmers is decreased. This enables farmers to access crucial financial services like loans, but also insurance and pensions
Using QR-tags, each bag can be traced back to the individual farmer. Increasingly, buyers are willing to pay a premium for this level of traceability. This premiums can trickle down to farmers.
By collecting and analyzing the extensive farm level data, service providers are able to tailor their service provision based on the needs and profile of individual farmers. This leads to optimized, tailored and cost-effective service provision, which in turn will benefit farmers through increased productivity.
Information is based on IDH’s Service Delivery Model (SDM) analysis for the Grains for Growth program, including data from Degas. Additionally, company interviews have been held since the start of Technical Assistance (2022) during which the innovation is tested and scaled. A longer time span and additional data are needed to verify and quantify impacts. Farmfit will conduct an end-line assessment of the company’s SDM and farmer livelihoods based on a repeat data collection at company and farm level.